Post Tagged with: "Assad"

No Turkish Syrian War

No Turkish Syrian War

Turkey will not be an instrument by which the Assad regime is deposed. It will neither directly attack the Assad government nor be the leader of an intervening coalition. If there is intervention, it will have to be an American initiative.

Turkey, the Balance of Power, and the Risks of Article V

Turkey, the Balance of Power, and the Risks of Article V

Unless there is some sort of extraordinary aggression taken by the Assad regime towards Turkey, NATO’s role should remain focused on harshly worded joint statements and nothing more. Article V invocation would be an overreaction.

The Syrian Army and the Coming Winter War

The Syrian Army and the Coming Winter War

Assad and the Syrian military are bound together in their fate. Preserving Assad’s power is crucial to keep the armed forces in safe employment – a lifestyle that could scarcely be an option under a new government.

Humanitarian Intervention and Geo-Politics: A Complicated Confluence

Humanitarian Intervention and Geo-Politics: A Complicated Confluence

The complicated confluence of humanitarian intervention and geo-political considerations require the Obama Administration to articulate and implement consistent, well thought through principles and values in Syria.

Intervention vs Non-Intervention in Syria: Assessing Costs and Benefits for the West

Intervention vs Non-Intervention in Syria: Assessing Costs and Benefits for the West

In the case of Syria, Western policymakers need to focus on, not whether to choose between intervention and non-intervention, but what sort of intervention will minimize costs and maximize benefits.

After Assad: A Host of Challenges

After Assad: A Host of Challenges

Relations with a post-Assad Syria remain uncertain. Should Islamic militants play a role in a new order, they would likely be suspicious of the West, and deeply resentful of US support for Israel.

Syria: Prospects for Transition from Minority to Majority Rule

Syria: Prospects for Transition from Minority to Majority Rule

Absent the circumstances that facilitated the transition to majority rule in Zimbabwe, South Africa, and Iraq, the prospects in Syria appear to be extremely poor.

Has Kofi Annan Failed in Syria?

Has Kofi Annan Failed in Syria?

One can see why some would argue that the Annan plan has failed. However, it is important to retain a realistic perspective about how much a third-party mediator can hope to achieve given the circumstances.

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