Post Tagged with: "Complexity"

The (Near) Impossibility of a Coherent National Strategy, and Why That Is Okay

The (Near) Impossibility of a Coherent National Strategy, and Why That Is Okay

Instead of worrying about developing a Grand Strategy, leaders and pundits should worry about tackling problems on a day-to-day basis.

Close-up of a US Flag patch as a US Army (USA) UH-60A Black Hawk (Blackhawk) helicopter returns to Ellington Field, Texas (TX), after delivering six pallets of relief supplies to Deweyville, Texas. The Army is contributing to the Hurricane Rita humanitarian assistance operations as part of Joint Task Force (JTF) Rita, led by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) in conjunction with the Department of Defense (DoD).  (USAF PHOTO BY SSGT JACOB N. BAILEY 050926-F-5964B-608)

No Easy Victory

Strategic leaders and the American public should recognize that ending wars will often result in something different from what was sought at the beginning.

Crude Thinking — 7 Ways of Dealing with the Complex in IR

Crude Thinking — 7 Ways of Dealing with the Complex in IR

Complexity and chaos theory have been associated with modeling and literary fancy, but the suggestions explored here are based on the ethos of rugged practitioners.

Policymaking at the Edge of Chaos

Policymaking at the Edge of Chaos

One of the peculiar challenges Complexity may present is that the nonlinearity and unpredictability it posits as being fundamental characteristics of complex systems are profoundly subversive of how we have traditionally understood policymaking. Complex adaptive systems are highly sensitive to initial conditions, as well as potentially subject to a variety of both positive and negative feedback loops, making outcomes unpredictable over the long term.

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