Dawid Walentek discusses his research into sanctions and counter-sanctions as well as cooperation on coercion.
Americans are less willing to tolerate policies targeting foreign actors that increase their cost of living over a sustained period.
EU candidate status, and the institutional engagement that it entails, has the potential to alter power relations in eastern Europe and between Russia and the West.
Unfortunately, Western leaders seem more concerned with kudos from Kyiv than with their opponent’s perspective.
After the conquest of the Donbas it would make sense to seek an armistice, but Russia seems blinded by its own propaganda and buoyed by its gains – costly as they have been.
An upgrade in US thinking to view Russia as a contemporary country with present-day policy goals as opposed to just an irredentist dying regime should be considered.
There is no empirical evidence that the assumption of emboldened and risk-acceptant conventional conflict behavior of Russia is in some way caused by, or protected by, MAD.
New partners and the increase of interaction between emerging and developing countries seem to be a plausible alternative to safeguard interests, but challenges remain.
Ukraine’s integration into the West is unacceptable to the Kremlin on security grounds, it is also inadmissible for what Putin would consider ‘civilizational’ reasons.
In a Clausewitzian sense, Putin has successfully used Russian force to impose Russia’s will on Ukraine.
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