The Syrian war is not just one conflict, but several conflicts which interact with one another. Syria has become a quagmire in which nobody can win but all can lose.
Author profile: Mark N. Katz
Moscow’s efforts to retain good relations with both Israel and Iran will continue to cause each to be wary of becoming too reliant on a Russia that it deems unreliable.
Just because Moscow insists on making mistakes in Syria, Washington does not have to do so too.
Rivalries among jihadist movements will not bring about their downfall, but they will prevent the unified, worldwide jihadist movement that ISIS has sought to build.
Increased US involvement may not bring about a quick, clean end to Syrian conflict. But, the limited involvement that Obama has recently been indicating will certainly not do so.
Moscow and Washington strongly disagree over many issues. Their differences over Syria, however, do not amount to a Cold War-style proxy war between them. Regional actors are more at odds in Syria than the U.S. and Russia.
In the case of Syria, Western policymakers need to focus on, not whether to choose between intervention and non-intervention, but what sort of intervention will minimize costs and maximize benefits.
Absent the circumstances that facilitated the transition to majority rule in Zimbabwe, South Africa, and Iraq, the prospects in Syria appear to be extremely poor.
Just as intervening in Afghanistan and Iraq did not lead the United States to victory, neither will withdrawing from these countries. Although the U.S. is likely to endure negative consequences from its disengagement, withdrawal need not mean defeat.
Ali Abdallah Saleh — who first came to power in North Yemen in 1978 and who has ruled over united Yemen since 1990 — has finally left office and left the country. Appearances, though, may be deceiving.
The East Moves West confirms Geoffrey Kemp’s reputation as a scholar who combines a broad geopolitical vision with an extraordinarily detailed knowledge of the many bilateral relationships between so many Middle Eastern countries, on the one hand, and so many Asian powers, on the other. It will be of great value to policy makers, journalists, scholars and students.