Interregnum and the Normalisation of Deviation: Unveiling the Structure of International Order
If aggression has become ordinary, it is because the order has adjusted to accommodate it.
Opinion – The Performance of UN Transitional Authorities
UNTAs were a big hope for the international community, but despite high expenditure the UN has only a mixed track-record.
Toward a Dynamic Narrative of Return in Complex Conflict Environments
Peacebuilders developing repatriation programs must consider the interconnected impacts of conflict, crises, economies and regime change.
Opinion – One Year of Masoud Pezeshkian’s Leadership in Iran
Hardliners still remain dominant in Iranian politics, and Pezeshkian is too cautious about losing their confidence.
Causes, Consequences and Repercussions of the Conflict with Syria’s Druze Minority
As a small powerless minority, the attack by the Jihadi forces against the Druze deepened the community’s dependence on Israel as their only savior.
Technology and Military Diffusion: Assessing the Impacts on Military Effectiveness
Military outcomes are best understood through a synthesis of material capabilities, organizational adaptation, and the ability to sustain societal and political will under conditions of adversity.
How Far Has Bangladesh Come One Year After Its “Second Independence”?
The interim government has made progress in the economy, in reversing mismanagement, and in foreign relations – however, domestic politics and security remain challenging.
Russia’s Arctic Corridor: Between Ice and Isolation
Absent a series of shifts, Russia’s Northern Sea Route will likely remain a niche corridor that is not predictable or de-risked enough to attract the world’s container giants.
Forecasting the Next World War: Between Theory and Practice
History shows that oscillating between realism and idealism drives both to extremes, making us reactive to crises and conducive to war.
Conflict as System Realignment: How Overloaded Systems Reset Themselves
Recasting conflict as a form of systemic realignment shifts the focus away from individual leaders, favouring of a deeper understanding of structural limits.
